Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Straelen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
SW Essen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Straelen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Straelen hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 64.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, while Straelen holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Straelen
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Straelen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40