Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonsbeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SW Essen 1-1 Sonsbeck
Original prediction
Sonsbeck
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sonsbeck
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Sonsbeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SW EssenLLLLL
GF 11 · GA 22 · avg 2.20/4.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SonsbeckDDLWL
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
SW EssenSonsbeck
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
25.7Power48.3
1.75xG1.85