GGOALVIO

Slovakia · Cup · 10/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nové Zámky · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Svätý Jur 0-3 Nové Zámky

Original prediction

Nové Zámky

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.3214.2%35.8%21.6 pts
Draw4.6419.3%23.2%3.9 pts
Away1.3566.5%41.0%-25.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-25.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.2–27%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Nové Zámky

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Nové Zámky has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Svätý JurWWLWL

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nové ZámkyWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Svätý JurNové Zámky
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power86.5
2.37xG1.88
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