Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Svätý Jur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Svätý Jur are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Malinovo are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.75 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Svätý Jur hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Cup, while Svätý Jur holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Svätý Jur
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
7.9%
Svätý Jur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.75/3.25