Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trutnov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Svitavy 1-3 Trutnov
Original prediction
Trutnov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 29.8% | 23.7% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.6% | 22.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.6% | 53.9% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Trutnov
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Trutnov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SvitavyDDLLL
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TrutnovWLDWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SvitavyTrutnov
23.8Attack57.1
33.3Defence52.4
23.8Form47.6
29.6Power51.2
1.11xG2.09