SveikatavsKauno Žalgiris

Sveikata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 62.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Cup, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.