Svay Riengvs
Shanghai Shenhua
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 10/15/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Svay Rieng 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua
Original prediction
Shanghai Shenhua
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.31 | 14.9% | 27.0% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 21.4% | 25.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 63.7% | 47.2% | -16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Shenhua
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80