GGOALVIO

Cambodia · C-League · 8/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Svay Rieng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Svay Rieng are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Phnom Penh Crown are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Svay Rieng hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 72.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the C-League, while Svay Rieng holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Svay Rieng

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Svay Rieng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Svay RiengWWD

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 2.33/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Phnom Penh CrownWDWWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Svay RiengPhnom Penh Crown
92.2Attack76.7
63.3Defence63.3
84.4Form75.6
79.6Power72.2
2.18xG1.55
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