Svay Riengvs
National Defense
COMPLETEDCambodia · C-League · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Svay Rieng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Svay Rieng 4-0 National Defense
Original prediction
Svay Rieng
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 89.4% | 60.7% | -28.7 pts |
| Draw | 13.00 | 7.2% | 19.9% | 12.7 pts |
| Away | 27.00 | 3.5% | 19.4% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Svay Rieng
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Svay Rieng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 4 · GA 21 · avg 0.80/4.20