Svay Riengvs
Boeung Ket
COMPLETEDCambodia · C-League · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Svay Rieng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Svay Rieng 4-1 Boeung Ket
Original prediction
Svay Rieng
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.7% | 59.3% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.2% | 21.3% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 8.80 | 10.1% | 19.4% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Svay Rieng
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Svay Rieng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00