GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SV Wehen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

SV Wehen 7-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Original prediction

SV Wehen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8648.6%49.1%0.5 pts
Draw3.6224.9%23.8%-1.1 pts
Away3.4026.5%27.1%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

SV Wehen

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

SV Wehen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV WehenDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachWDLDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SV WehenSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
40.0Attack40.0
50.0Defence40.0
40.0Form40.0
44.2Power42.9
1.56xG1.10
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