SV Wehenvs
Rot-Weiß Essen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rot-Weiß Essen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Wehen 0-0 Rot-Weiß Essen
Original prediction
Rot-Weiß Essen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.7% | 33.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 25.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.2% | 40.4% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Rot-Weiß Essen
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Rot-Weiß Essen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00