SV Wehenvs
MSV Duisburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/20/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MSV Duisburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Wehen 1-4 MSV Duisburg
Original prediction
MSV Duisburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.6% | 20.5% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.2% | 22.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.2% | 57.1% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
MSV Duisburg
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
MSV Duisburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40