SV Wehenvs
Alemannia Aachen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alemannia Aachen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Wehen 3-0 Alemannia Aachen
Original prediction
Alemannia Aachen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.8% | 33.6% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 28.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.0% | 38.4% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Alemannia Aachen
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Alemannia Aachen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20