GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SV Steinbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV SteinbachLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Vfb MarburgWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SV SteinbachVfb Marburg
45.1Attack50.0
32.4Defence66.7
32.4Form66.7
39.0Power64.8
1.27xG2.18
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