GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/13/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

SV Steinbach are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV SteinbachDLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 2.33/2.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
FriedbergWDLWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SV SteinbachFriedberg
45.1Attack66.7
32.4Defence66.7
32.4Form77.8
39.0Power72.8
1.30xG2.46
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