GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/16/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SV Steinbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fernwald are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV SteinbachLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SV SteinbachFernwald
45.1Attack41.7
32.4Defence58.3
32.4Form41.7
39.0Power48.8
1.44xG1.94
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