GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/17/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SV Steinbach are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Baunatal are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Steinbach hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV SteinbachLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BaunatalWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SV SteinbachBaunatal
45.1Attack22.2
32.4Defence44.4
32.4Form11.1
39.0Power29.5
1.70xG1.74
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