GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SV Steinbach are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Baunatal are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Steinbach hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV SteinbachLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 2.50/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
BaunatalDLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
SV SteinbachBaunatal
45.1Attack22.2
32.4Defence44.4
32.4Form11.1
39.0Power29.5
1.70xG1.74
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