GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/11/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SV Sandhausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

SV Sandhausen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hannover 96 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hannover 96 hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the DFB Pokal, while SV Sandhausen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SV Sandhausen

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

SV Sandhausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV SandhausenDDWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hannover 96DDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SV SandhausenHannover 96
83.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence0.0
16.7Form33.3
34.5Power45.3
2.27xG2.12
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