GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/18/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dynamo Dresden · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SV Sandhausen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dynamo Dresden are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo Dresden hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the 3. Liga, while Dynamo Dresden holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dynamo Dresden

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Dynamo Dresden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV SandhausenDDDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dynamo DresdenWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SV SandhausenDynamo Dresden
50.9Attack50.9
50.0Defence64.9
49.1Form54.4
51.6Power57.4
1.15xG1.45
View match centre →