SV Rodinghausenvs
Sportfreunde Lotte
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Rodinghausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Rodinghausen 2-1 Sportfreunde Lotte
Original prediction
SV Rodinghausen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.3% | 51.6% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.0% | 24.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.6% | 23.9% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
SV Rodinghausen
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
SV Rodinghausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80