SV Rodinghausenvs
Köln II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Köln II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Rodinghausen 2-3 Köln II
Original prediction
Köln II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.6% | 33.4% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 20.8% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.9% | 45.8% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Köln II
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Köln II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40