SV Rodinghausenvs
FC Gutersloh
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gutersloh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Rodinghausen 1-1 FC Gutersloh
Original prediction
FC Gutersloh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.9% | 14.6% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 17.7% | -10.4 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.0% | 67.7% | 22.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
FC Gutersloh
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
FC Gutersloh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00