SV Meppenvs
Würzburger Kickers
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Meppen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Meppen 4-0 Würzburger Kickers
Original prediction
SV Meppen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.5% | 42.6% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 22.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.6% | 34.8% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
SV Meppen
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
SV Meppen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00