GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 7/28/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SV Meppen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

SV Meppen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while SV Drochtersen/Assel are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Meppen hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.0% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while SV Meppen holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SV Meppen

Probability

73.0%

Model confidence

73.0%

SV Meppen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV MeppenLWLDL

GF 14 · GA 18 · avg 2.80/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SV Drochtersen/AsselLLLLL

GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SV MeppenSV Drochtersen/Assel
72.5Attack44.4
61.8Defence33.3
69.6Form33.3
67.8Power40.3
2.98xG1.00
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