SV Meppenvs
FC Viktoria Köln
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Viktoria Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Meppen 1-3 FC Viktoria Köln
Original prediction
FC Viktoria Köln
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.9% | 28.1% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 22.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 49.4% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
FC Viktoria Köln
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
FC Viktoria Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80