SV Meppenvs
FC Saarbrücken
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Meppen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Meppen 1-6 FC Saarbrücken
Original prediction
SV Meppen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 31.4% | 39.4% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.3% | 25.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 42.3% | 35.1% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
SV Meppen
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
SV Meppen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60