SV Lafnitzvs
Austria Lustenau
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Lustenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Lafnitz 2-6 Austria Lustenau
Original prediction
Austria Lustenau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.88 | 13.2% | 35.8% | 22.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.21 | 17.4% | 23.4% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.4% | 40.8% | -28.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Austria Lustenau
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Austria Lustenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80