SV Kapfenbergvs
WSPG Wels
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 9/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Kapfenberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Kapfenberg 0-1 WSPG Wels
Original prediction
SV Kapfenberg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.6% | 41.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 25.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.7% | 33.2% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
SV Kapfenberg
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
SV Kapfenberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00