SV Kapfenbergvs
SKU Amstetten
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 9/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SKU Amstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Kapfenberg 3-4 SKU Amstetten
Original prediction
SKU Amstetten
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.76 | 19.3% | 22.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.9% | 22.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.8% | 55.3% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
SKU Amstetten
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
SKU Amstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40