SV Kapfenbergvs
SKN ST. Polten
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SKN ST. Polten · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Kapfenberg 1-1 SKN ST. Polten
Original prediction
SKN ST. Polten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.96 | 18.4% | 28.1% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 21.0% | 27.2% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.5% | 44.7% | -15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
SKN ST. Polten
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
SKN ST. Polten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60