SV Kapfenbergvs
FC BW Linz
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC BW Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Kapfenberg 2-1 FC BW Linz
Original prediction
FC BW Linz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.32 | 12.6% | 17.2% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.11 | 18.0% | 20.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 69.4% | 62.4% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
FC BW Linz
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
FC BW Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40