SV Kapfenbergvs
Austria Vienna (Am)
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Vienna (Am) · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Kapfenberg 0-1 Austria Vienna (Am)
Original prediction
Austria Vienna (Am)
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.5% | 25.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.6% | 22.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.8% | 52.8% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Austria Vienna (Am)
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Austria Vienna (Am) has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60