Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiener SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Horn 3-4 Wiener SC
Original prediction
Wiener SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.31 | 20.9% | 23.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 24.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.2% | 51.8% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Wiener SC
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Wiener SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SV HornLLLLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Wiener SCWDLWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SV HornWiener SC
46.7Attack80.0
50.0Defence63.3
36.7Form63.3
45.7Power66.9
1.04xG2.36