SV Elversbergvs
FSV Mainz 05
COMPLETEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Elversberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SV Elversberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FSV Mainz 05 are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 3.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the DFB Pokal, while SV Elversberg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SV Elversberg
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
SV Elversberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 3.25/1.00