SV Elversbergvs
Bayer Leverkusen
SCHEDULEDGermany · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
SV Elversberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 46.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 83.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Bundesliga, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
11.0%
Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80