GGOALVIO

Germany · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

SV Elversberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 46.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 83.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Bundesliga, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

11.0%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SV ElversbergWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bayer LeverkusenWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen
50.0Attack87.3
33.3Defence76.5
16.7Form88.2
36.5Power83.2
0.82xG2.91
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