SV Drochtersen/Asselvs
Werder Bremen II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Drochtersen/Assel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Drochtersen/Assel 0-1 Werder Bremen II
Original prediction
SV Drochtersen/Assel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.5% | 57.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.5% | 21.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.57 | 20.0% | 21.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
SV Drochtersen/Assel
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
SV Drochtersen/Assel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20