SV Darmstadt 98vs
Hannover 96
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Darmstadt 98 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Hannover 96
Original prediction
SV Darmstadt 98
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 31.1% | 40.4% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.2% | 26.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 43.6% | 33.5% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
SV Darmstadt 98
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
SV Darmstadt 98 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20