SV Darmstadt 98vs
Energie Cottbus
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Energie Cottbus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Darmstadt 98 3-1 Energie Cottbus
Original prediction
Energie Cottbus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.9% | 28.6% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 24.3% | 21.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.9% | 49.6% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Energie Cottbus
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Energie Cottbus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20