SV Babelsberg 03vs
Lokomotive Leipzig
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotive Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Babelsberg 03 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig
Original prediction
Lokomotive Leipzig
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.6% | 35.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.0% | 23.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.4% | 41.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotive Leipzig
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Lokomotive Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40