SV Babelsberg 03vs
BFC Preussen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Babelsberg 03 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Babelsberg 03 1-0 BFC Preussen
Original prediction
SV Babelsberg 03
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.8% | 44.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.6% | 24.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.6% | 32.0% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
SV Babelsberg 03
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
SV Babelsberg 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60