Suzhou Dongwuvs
Nanjing City
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suzhou Dongwu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 Nanjing City, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Suzhou Dongwu 2-0 Nanjing City
Original prediction
Suzhou Dongwu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.0% | 40.2% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.7% | 31.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.3% | 28.7% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
Suzhou Dongwu 0–0 Nanjing City
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Suzhou Dongwu
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Suzhou Dongwu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60