GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heilongjiang Lava Spring · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Suzhou Dongwu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Heilongjiang Lava Spring hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the League One, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Suzhou DongwuWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Suzhou DongwuHeilongjiang Lava Spring
25.9Attack51.9
57.4Defence35.2
31.5Form38.9
41.2Power44.6
1.06xG1.22
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