Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon FMC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Suwon FMC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Seoul are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Suwon FMC hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (77.3 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the WK-League, while Suwon FMC holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suwon FMC
Probability
87.9%
Model confidence
16.2%
Suwon FMC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80