Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon FMC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Suwon FMC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Seoul are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Suwon FMC hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the WK-League, while Suwon FMC holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suwon FMC
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
16.4%
Suwon FMC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60