Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon FMC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Suwon FMC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gyeongju are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Suwon FMC hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the WK-League, while Suwon FMC holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suwon FMC
Probability
70.1%
Model confidence
14.3%
Suwon FMC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20