Suwon City FCvs
Hwaseong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon City FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suwon City FC 1-0 Hwaseong
Original prediction
Suwon City FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.5% | 45.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 26.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.4% | 28.8% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Suwon City FC
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Suwon City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00