Suwon City FCvs
Cheonan City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon City FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suwon City FC 1-1 Cheonan City
Original prediction
Suwon City FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.4% | 65.6% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.1% | 19.6% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 19.5% | 14.8% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Suwon City FC
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Suwon City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40