Suwon City FCvs
Busan I Park
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suwon City FC 2-1 Busan I Park
Original prediction
Suwon City FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.2% | 52.7% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 21.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.8% | 25.7% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Suwon City FC
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Suwon City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00